MathPredictions
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USA NWSL Women

Washington Spirit (W) vs San Diego Wave (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.58 – 0.85
Avg goals2.43
Our pickHome
Washington Spirit (W) 53% Draw 28% San Diego Wave (W) 19%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 53% 1.88 2.05
Double chance – Home or draw 81% 1.24 1.26
Goals 2.5 Under 56% 1.78 1.85
Both teams to score – No 53% 1.88 1.83
Asian handicap -0.25 Home +8% Value 62% 1.62 1.78
Corners 9.5 Under 66% 1.51 –
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.68 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.05  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 3.10
Goals 2.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.78  ·  Away 2.03

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.9 Washington Spirit (W)
8.2 Expected corners
4.3 San Diego Wave (W)

Washington Spirit (W) corner stats · San Diego Wave (W) corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 34% Under 66%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.2 corners in this match, with Washington Spirit (W) winning 3.9 of them.
  • Washington Spirit (W) matches average 8.77 total corners (5.00 won per game) across their last 35 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 37% of Washington Spirit (W) matches.
  • San Diego Wave (W) win 5.90 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.26 over their last 31.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of San Diego Wave (W) matches.
  • Games involving Washington Spirit (W) produce 2.66 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
  • San Diego Wave (W) matches average 2.45 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (56%).

Washington Spirit (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A W Utah Royals (W) 1–0 5–10
2026-07-27 H W Denver Summit FC (W) 1–0 3–5
2026-07-20 A W Boston Legacy FC (W) 2–1 2–1
2026-07-16 A L Gotham FC (W) 0–1 4–2
2026-07-12 A W North Carolina Courage (W) 2–0 2–4
2026-07-04 H W Houston Dash (W) 2–1 4–0
2026-05-31 H W Seattle Reign (W) 2–1 5–5
2026-05-24 A L Club America (W) 3–5 2–3
2026-05-21 H W Pachuca (W) 1–0 1–13
2026-05-16 A L San Diego Wave (W) 1–2 6–3

San Diego Wave (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H L Seattle Reign (W) 0–2 7–3
2026-07-18 A D Kansas City Current (W) 2–2 6–6
2026-07-12 H L Angel City FC (W) 0–2 10–3
2026-07-05 H W Gotham FC (W) 2–0 0–6
2026-06-01 A W Chicago Stars (W) 2–0 3–3
2026-05-25 H L Orlando Pride (W) 0–1 3–2
2026-05-21 A D Houston Dash (W) 2–2 9–2
2026-05-16 H W Washington Spirit (W) 2–1 3–6
2026-05-10 A W Angel City FC (W) 2–1 1–6
2026-05-04 H L Bay FC (W) 0–1 4–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Washington Spirit (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?
Our model gives Washington Spirit (W) a 53% chance, the draw 28% and San Diego Wave (W) 19%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Washington Spirit (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?
The corner model projects 8.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 34% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.