MathPredictions

New Zealand Central Premier League

Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Western Suburbs Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.05 – 1.53
Avg goals2.58
Our pickAway
Wellington Phoenix Reserves 25% Draw 28% Western Suburbs 47%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 47% 2.13 1.75
Double chance Draw or away 75% 1.33 1.22
Goals 3.25 Under +36% Value 71% 1.41 1.98
Both teams to score Yes 52% 1.92
Asian handicap 0.75 Home +7% Value 60% 1.67 1.80
Corners 11 Over 51% 1.98 2.00
Correct score 1-1 +21% Value 13% 7.46 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.40  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 1.75
Goals 3.25 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap 0.75 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00
Corners 11 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

11.1 Expected corners
Corner line 11.00
Over 51% Under 49%

Match trends

Wellington Phoenix Reserves — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 H L Napier City Rovers 1–2 4–8
2026-07-11 A L Miramar Rangers 0–1 3–15
2026-07-04 H D FC Western 1–1 8–3
2026-06-27 A D Petone FC 1–1 5–5
2026-06-20 H D Waterside Karori 0–0 8–0
2026-06-07 A L FC Western 1–2 10–7
2026-06-03 H D Island Bay United 2–2 5–2
2026-05-23 A L Upper Hutt City 0–1 11–5
2026-05-16 H W Island Bay United 3–1 8–2
2026-05-09 A L Wellington Olympic 1–3 1–7

Western Suburbs — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A W Upper Hutt City 2–1 3–3
2026-07-11 H W Island Bay United 2–0 8–4
2026-06-20 A L Wellington Olympic 1–2 7–5
2026-06-13 A L Miramar Rangers 0–2 4–11
2026-06-06 H D Napier City Rovers 3–3 2–4
2026-05-23 H W Miramar Rangers 1–0 5–7
2026-05-16 A D Waterside Karori 2–2 8–1
2026-05-09 H W Petone FC 1–0 8–3
2026-05-02 H W Wellington Phoenix Reserves 1–0 4–5
2026-04-25 H W Upper Hutt City 2–1 4–0

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Western Suburbs?
Our model gives Wellington Phoenix Reserves a 25% chance, the draw 28% and Western Suburbs 47%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Western Suburbs?
The corner model projects 11.1 total corners. Over 11.00 corners is rated at 51% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.