Europe Friendlies
Westerlo vs Samsunspor Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 71′ 1–2
Corners5–4
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target3–4
Shots off target3–4
Attacks14–25
Dangerous attacks16–19
Possession50%–50%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.45 – 1.33
Avg goals2.78
Our pickHome
Westerlo 39%
Draw 28%
Samsunspor 33%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 39% | 2.58 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 53% | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 55% | 1.82 | 1.78 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.59 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.25 · Draw 3.25 · Away 2.75 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 2.03 · Away 1.78 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 43 recent matches, Westerlo games produced 9.95 corners on average — 4.86 taken by Westerlo themselves.
- Westerlo games clear the 9.5 corner line 56% of the time.
- Samsunspor matches average 9.35 total corners (5.20 won per game) across their last 55 with corner data.
- Samsunspor games clear the 9.5 corner line 49% of the time.
- Westerlo matches average 2.58 goals, with both teams scoring in 37% of them.
- Games involving Samsunspor produce 2.60 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 53% probability.
Westerlo — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | D AE Kifisias | 1–1 | 0–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Helmond Sport | 2–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L PAOK Salonika | 0–4 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Antwerp | 0–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-20 | H | L Standard Liege | 1–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Charleroi | 1–0 | 5–8 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | L Genk | 0–3 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | D OH Leuven | 3–3 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Antwerp | 2–4 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | W OH Leuven | 2–0 | 4–8 |
Samsunspor — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | A | W AEK Athens | 2–1 | 5–0 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | D RAAL La Louviere | 0–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | L Dunkerque | 1–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Goztepe | 3–0 | 0–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Istanbul Basaksehir | 0–3 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Galatasaray | 4–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | W Alanyaspor | 3–2 | 5–12 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | D Trabzonspor | 0–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W Besiktas | 2–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-04-14 | A | W Eyupspor | 2–1 | 7–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Westerlo vs Samsunspor?
- Our model gives Westerlo a 39% chance, the draw 28% and Samsunspor 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.