New Zealand Northern League
Western Springs AFC vs Birkenhead United Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-2
Expected goals1.13 – 2.31
Avg goals3.44
Our pickAway
Western Springs AFC 17%
Draw 21%
Birkenhead United 63%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 63% | 1.59 | 1.18 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 83% | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals | 3.5 | Under +7% Value | 55% | 1.82 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Asian handicap | 1.75 | Home +27% Value | 65% | 1.54 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-2 | 10% | 10.34 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 9.00 · Draw 6.50 · Away 1.18 |
| Goals 3.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap 2 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.3
Western Springs AFC
10.9
Expected corners
6.6
Birkenhead United
Western Springs AFC corner stats · Birkenhead United corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 65%
Under 35%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.9 corners in this match, with Western Springs AFC winning 4.3 of them.
- Across 30 recent matches, Western Springs AFC games produced 9.40 corners on average — 4.37 taken by Western Springs AFC themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Western Springs AFC matches.
- Birkenhead United matches average 11.85 total corners (7.79 won per game) across their last 34 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 74% of Birkenhead United matches.
- Games involving Western Springs AFC produce 3.33 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
- Birkenhead United matches average 3.79 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 4.2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.50 (55%).
Western Springs AFC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Auckland United FC | 0–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 0–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Auckland City | 0–3 | 2–11 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | W Auckland FC Reserves | 1–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | D East Coast Bays | 2–2 | 9–5 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | W Bay Olympic | 3–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L Fencibles United | 0–6 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Tauranga City AFC | 2–4 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Melville United | 3–1 | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Birkenhead United | 0–3 | 3–10 |
Birkenhead United — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Melville United | 4–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Auckland United FC | 4–0 | 9–5 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | D Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 1–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | W Auckland City | 3–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Fencibles United | 1–3 | 10–2 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W Auckland FC Reserves | 2–0 | 11–2 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | W Bay Olympic | 6–2 | 10–1 |
| 2026-05-28 | H | W East Coast Bays | 3–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Bay Olympic | 6–0 | 13–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Fencibles United | 1–0 | 11–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Western Springs AFC vs Birkenhead United?
- Our model gives Western Springs AFC a 17% chance, the draw 21% and Birkenhead United 63%. The most likely score is 1-2.
- How many corners are expected in Western Springs AFC vs Birkenhead United?
- The corner model projects 10.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 65% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.