Luxembourg Division Nationale
Wiltz vs FC Etzella Ettelbruck Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.82 – 1.28
Avg goals3.09
Our pickHome
Wiltz 49%
Draw 25%
FC Etzella Ettelbruck 26%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 49% | 2.04 | 1.83 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 55% | 1.83 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 51% | 1.96 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.64 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.83 · Draw 3.70 · Away 3.30 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Wiltz matches average 7.38 total corners (4.50 won per game) across their last 8 with corner data.
- Wiltz games clear the 9.5 corner line 25% of the time.
- FC Etzella Ettelbruck win 4.86 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.00 over their last 7.
- FC Etzella Ettelbruck games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- Wiltz matches average 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
- Games involving FC Etzella Ettelbruck produce 3.71 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 71%.
- The model leans Over 2.75 goals at 55% probability.
Wiltz — last 8 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Eupen | 0–9 | 2–4 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | D FC Mamer 32 | 0–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-03-05 | H | L Progres Niederkorn | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2025-11-16 | H | D Lorentzweiler | 0–0 | 7–2 |
| 2025-11-01 | A | L Residence Walferdange | 3–4 | 4–2 |
| 2025-09-07 | H | W FC The Belval Belvaux | 3–0 | 5–5 |
| 2025-08-31 | A | W FC Alisontia Steinsel | 3–2 | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-24 | H | W CS Fola Esch | 1–0 | 5–2 |
FC Etzella Ettelbruck — last 7 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Racing FC Union | 1–3 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L SC Bettembourg | 0–8 | 10–2 |
| 2025-11-16 | A | W FC Schifflange 95 | 3–1 | 1–6 |
| 2025-11-09 | H | D Racing FC Union | 1–1 | 4–3 |
| 2025-10-12 | H | W Koeppchen Wormeldange | 2–0 | 5–2 |
| 2025-09-06 | H | L FC Berdenia Berbourg | 1–2 | 7–6 |
| 2025-08-17 | A | L US Feulen | 1–2 | 3–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Wiltz vs FC Etzella Ettelbruck?
- Our model gives Wiltz a 49% chance, the draw 25% and FC Etzella Ettelbruck 26%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.