Poland Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock vs Widzew Lodz Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.16 – 1.01
Avg goals2.17
Our pickHome
Wisla Plock 38%
Draw 32%
Widzew Lodz 30%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +6% Value | 38% | 2.64 | 2.80 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 70% | 1.43 | 1.49 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under | 57% | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 55% | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home +13% Value | 64% | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 54% | 1.86 | 1.93 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 15% | 6.80 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.80 · Draw 3.20 · Away 2.35 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.75 · Away 2.05 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.7
Wisla Plock
9.2
Expected corners
4.5
Widzew Lodz
Wisla Plock corner stats · Widzew Lodz corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 46%
Under 54%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.2 corners in this match, with Wisla Plock winning 4.7 of them.
- Wisla Plock matches average 9.43 total corners (4.24 won per game) across their last 37 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of Wisla Plock matches.
- Widzew Lodz win 4.18 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.51 over their last 39.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Widzew Lodz matches.
- Games involving Wisla Plock produce 2.24 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 49%.
- Widzew Lodz matches average 2.64 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
- Across their previous 9 meetings, these sides averaged 2.2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 9 meetings with corner data averaged 9.3 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (57%).
Wisla Plock — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Rakow Czestochowa | 2–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-07-14 | H | W Bohemians 1905 | 2–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Banik Ostrava | 2–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Polonia Warsaw | 3–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | D Lech Poznan | 2–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Gornik Zabrze | 0–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Motor Lublin | 0–4 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Pogon Szczecin | 0–3 | 9–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Radomiak Radom | 0–1 | 7–7 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | W Termalica BB Nieciecza | 3–1 | 5–2 |
Widzew Lodz — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Motor Lublin | 2–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-14 | H | W FC Marchfeld Donauauen | 4–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Piast Gliwice | 2–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Korona Kielce | 0–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Lechia Gdansk | 3–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Legia Warsaw | 0–1 | 1–6 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Motor Lublin | 2–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Radomiak Radom | 1–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Termalica BB Nieciecza | 1–0 | 10–1 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | D Rakow Czestochowa | 1–1 | 5–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Wisla Plock vs Widzew Lodz?
- Our model gives Wisla Plock a 38% chance, the draw 32% and Widzew Lodz 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Wisla Plock vs Widzew Lodz?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 46% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.