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UK Friendlies

Worcester City vs Merthyr Town Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.25 – 1.68
Avg goals2.93
Our pickAway
Worcester City 27% Draw 26% Merthyr Town 46%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 46% 2.16 1.70
Double chance – Home or away 74% 1.36 1.16
Goals 2.5 Over 56% 1.79 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.69 –
Corners 9.5 Under 53% 1.88 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.10 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.60  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 1.70
Goals 3.25 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.5 Worcester City
9.2 Expected corners
4.7 Merthyr Town

Worcester City corner stats · Merthyr Town corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 47% Under 53%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.2 corners in this match, with Worcester City winning 4.5 of them.
  • Across 20 recent matches, Worcester City games produced 9.50 corners on average — 4.80 taken by Worcester City themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Worcester City matches.
  • Merthyr Town matches average 10.33 total corners (4.92 won per game) across their last 51 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 49% of Merthyr Town matches.
  • Games involving Worcester City produce 2.20 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 35%.
  • Merthyr Town matches average 3.88 goals, with both teams scoring in 69% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (56%).

Worcester City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-15 A L Evesham United 0–1 5–3
2026-07-11 H D Malvern Town 0–0 2–3
2026-04-11 A L Kettering 1–2 4–9
2026-03-21 A L Leiston 0–1 3–5
2026-03-18 A D Real Bedford 0–0 3–10
2026-01-31 H W Stratford Town 1–0 4–5
2026-01-10 H L Banbury 0–1 5–2
2025-12-26 H L Halesowen 1–2 5–7
2025-12-20 A W Quorn 4–2 7–0
2025-11-26 A L Alvechurch 0–2 4–5

Merthyr Town — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-22 H W Briton Ferry 3–0 6–4
2026-07-18 H L Forest Green 1–2 3–5
2026-07-15 H D Yeovil 2–2 5–4
2026-07-11 H W Cambrian United 4–2 6–2
2026-04-25 H L AFC Fylde 2–4 3–5
2026-04-18 A L Scarborough Athletic 1–2 2–3
2026-04-15 A W Marine 3–1 5–8
2026-04-11 H L Macclesfield FC 1–2 14–2
2026-04-06 A L Hereford 0–3 3–8
2026-04-03 H D Oxford City 1–1 5–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Worcester City vs Merthyr Town?
Our model gives Worcester City a 27% chance, the draw 26% and Merthyr Town 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Worcester City vs Merthyr Town?
The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.