Austria Bundesliga
WSG Swarovski Tirol vs SK Sturm Graz Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.17 – 1.69
Avg goals2.85
Our pickAway
WSG Swarovski Tirol 25%
Draw 26%
SK Sturm Graz 48%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 48% | 2.07 | 1.91 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home | 52% | 1.94 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 10 | Under | 53% | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.01 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.90 · Draw 3.50 · Away 1.91 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.3
WSG Swarovski Tirol
9.8
Expected corners
5.4
SK Sturm Graz
WSG Swarovski Tirol corner stats · SK Sturm Graz corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 47%
Under 53%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; WSG Swarovski Tirol are forecast for 4.3.
- Across 40 recent matches, WSG Swarovski Tirol games produced 9.90 corners on average — 4.60 taken by WSG Swarovski Tirol themselves.
- WSG Swarovski Tirol games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
- SK Sturm Graz matches average 9.74 total corners (5.06 won per game) across their last 53 with corner data.
- SK Sturm Graz games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- WSG Swarovski Tirol matches average 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Games involving SK Sturm Graz produce 2.85 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.5 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 51% probability.
WSG Swarovski Tirol — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W SC Wieselburg | 6–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Hertha Berlin | 2–3 | 5–9 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Polissya Zhytomyr | 1–2 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D Gornik Zabrze | 0–0 | 7–7 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L FK Qarabag | 0–4 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Wolfsberger AC | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D FC Blau Weiss Linz | 1–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Grazer AK | 0–4 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W SV Ried | 1–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | D SCR Altach | 0–0 | 5–5 |
SK Sturm Graz — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | W Hearts | 2–0 | 2–8 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Seekirchen | 3–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Hearts | 4–0 | 4–12 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | D FC Kosice | 2–2 | 10–3 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | L LNZ Cherkasy | 2–6 | 1–6 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W NS Mura | 5–0 | 14–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Rapid Vienna | 2–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Hartberg | 4–2 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D FC Salzburg | 1–1 | 9–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D FK Austria Vienna | 1–1 | 4–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win WSG Swarovski Tirol vs SK Sturm Graz?
- Our model gives WSG Swarovski Tirol a 25% chance, the draw 26% and SK Sturm Graz 48%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs SK Sturm Graz?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 47% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.