Brazil Paulista Cup
XV Piracicaba vs Noroeste Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.33 – 0.85
Avg goals2.18
Our pickHome
XV Piracicaba 46%
Draw 31%
Noroeste 23%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 46% | 2.15 | 1.95 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 77% | 1.30 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 63% | 1.59 | 1.75 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.10 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.95 · Draw 3.40 · Away 3.40 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 2.05 · Under 1.75 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.4
XV Piracicaba
9.2
Expected corners
3.7
Noroeste
XV Piracicaba corner stats · Noroeste corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 46%
Under 54%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.2 corners in this match, with XV Piracicaba winning 5.4 of them.
- XV Piracicaba matches average 9.73 total corners (6.08 won per game) across their last 48 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of XV Piracicaba matches.
- Noroeste win 5.46 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.73 over their last 26.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of Noroeste matches.
- Games involving XV Piracicaba produce 1.88 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 31%.
- Noroeste matches average 2.42 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10.6 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (63%).
XV Piracicaba — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Comercial SP | 0–2 | 12–1 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | D Uniao Sao Joao | 0–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | D Cianorte | 0–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L Cianorte | 0–4 | 14–1 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W America RJ | 2–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | D America RJ | 1–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-06-08 | A | L Nova Iguacu | 0–1 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | D Noroeste | 1–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Velo Clube | 1–1 | 11–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Marica | 2–1 | 3–2 |
Noroeste — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Uniao Sao Joao | 2–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Comercial SP | 0–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | L Portuguesa RJ | 1–3 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-22 | A | D Portuguesa RJ | 1–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-08 | H | W Sampaio Correa RJ | 1–0 | 6–0 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | D XV Piracicaba | 1–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Nova Iguacu | 0–1 | 11–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Velo Clube | 3–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Marica | 3–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Marica | 1–0 | 10–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win XV Piracicaba vs Noroeste?
- Our model gives XV Piracicaba a 46% chance, the draw 31% and Noroeste 23%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in XV Piracicaba vs Noroeste?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 46% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.