China Division 1
Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.53 – 0.82
Avg goals2.35
Our pickHome
Yanbian Longding 53%
Draw 28%
Nanjing City 19%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 53% | 1.89 | 1.90 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 81% | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 58% | 1.72 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 55% | 1.82 | 1.73 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +48% Value | 13% | 7.45 | 10.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.90 · Draw 3.10 · Away 3.80 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.6
Yanbian Longding
8.3
Expected corners
4.6
Nanjing City
Yanbian Longding corner stats · Nanjing City corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 36%
Under 64%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.3 corners in this match, with Yanbian Longding winning 3.6 of them.
- Yanbian Longding win 3.55 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.03 over their last 29.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 28% of Yanbian Longding matches.
- Across 29 recent matches, Nanjing City games produced 9.00 corners on average — 4.38 taken by Nanjing City themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Nanjing City matches.
- Games involving Yanbian Longding produce 2.31 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 45%.
- Nanjing City matches average 2.55 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Across their previous 7 meetings, these sides averaged 2.1 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 7 meetings with corner data averaged 8.9 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (58%).
Yanbian Longding — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Meizhou Hakka | 2–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | D Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 0–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Suzhou Dongwu | 3–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Dingnan Ganlian FC | 3–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W Foshan Nanshi | 2–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | L Nantong Zhiyun | 0–2 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | D Changchun Yatai | 2–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Guangdong GZ-Power | 4–3 | 1–11 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Shanghai Segenda | 0–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D Guangxi Hengchen | 1–1 | 2–11 |
Nanjing City — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Changchun Yatai | 1–2 | 10–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Guangdong GZ-Power | 0–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Dalian K'un City | 0–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Foshan Nanshi | 3–1 | 10–2 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 1–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Ningbo Professional FC | 1–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | W Shaanxi Union | 1–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | D Wuxi Wugo | 1–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | L Qingdao Red Lions | 0–1 | 10–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Meizhou Hakka | 2–0 | 3–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City?
- Our model gives Yanbian Longding a 53% chance, the draw 28% and Nanjing City 19%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City?
- The corner model projects 8.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 36% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.