Finland Kolmonen
Ylojarvi United vs FC LeKi Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 1–1 (HT 1–1)
Corners2–4
Yellow cards2–4
Shots on target2–4
Shots off target8–8
Attacks96–83
Dangerous attacks61–48
Possession49%–51%
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.48 – 1.59
Avg goals4.07
Our pickHome
Ylojarvi United 57%
Draw 20%
FC LeKi 23%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 57% | 1.77 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 80% | 1.25 | 1.11 |
| Goals | 4 | Under | 52% | 1.91 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away +7% Value | 59% | 1.70 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 54% | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +59% Value | 8% | 11.95 | 19.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.50 · Draw 4.75 · Away 4.20 |
| Goals 4 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.2
Ylojarvi United
9.8
Expected corners
4.7
FC LeKi
Ylojarvi United corner stats · FC LeKi corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 54%
Under 46%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; Ylojarvi United are forecast for 5.2.
- Ylojarvi United win 4.35 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.12 over their last 17.
- Ylojarvi United games clear the 9.5 corner line 41% of the time.
- Across 10 recent matches, FC LeKi games produced 10.00 corners on average — 5.00 taken by FC LeKi themselves.
- FC LeKi games clear the 9.5 corner line 60% of the time.
- Ylojarvi United matches average 3.53 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.
- Games involving FC LeKi produce 4.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 80%.
- The model leans Under 4.00 goals at 52% probability.
Ylojarvi United — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | D FC LeKi | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | W Fish United | 4–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-06-26 | H | W ACE | 3–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-06-12 | A | L TP-T | 1–3 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | W FC Haka Juniors | 4–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | L FC Lasten | 0–4 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-15 | H | D TPV II | 2–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W NoPS | 3–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-24 | A | W FC LeKi | 1–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W TP-49 | 4–0 | 6–2 |
FC LeKi — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | D Ylojarvi United | 1–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | W Loiske | 3–1 | 2–9 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L TP-T | 0–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | W FC Haka Juniors | 4–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-06-26 | A | L FC Lasten | 1–3 | 5–9 |
| 2026-06-12 | H | W TPV II | 4–2 | 13–3 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Tampere Utd II | 1–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-04-28 | A | L ACE | 4–5 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-24 | H | L Ylojarvi United | 0–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D Loiske | 2–2 | 4–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Ylojarvi United vs FC LeKi?
- Our model gives Ylojarvi United a 57% chance, the draw 20% and FC LeKi 23%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Ylojarvi United vs FC LeKi?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 54% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.