MathPredictions
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Wales Championship South

Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.45 – 1.72
Avg goals3.18
Our pickAway
Ynyshir Albions 31% Draw 25% Cardiff Draconians 43%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 43% 2.32 2.25
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.34 1.17
Goals 3 Over 50% 1.98 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 64% 1.56 –
Asian handicap 0 Away 58% 1.73 1.80
Corners 9.5 Under 58% 1.72 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.70 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.45  ·  Draw 3.75  ·  Away 2.25
Goals 3 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 0 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.7 Ynyshir Albions
8.8 Expected corners
4.1 Cardiff Draconians

Ynyshir Albions corner stats · Cardiff Draconians corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 42% Under 58%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.8 corners in this match, with Ynyshir Albions winning 4.7 of them.
  • Ynyshir Albions win 4.36 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.07 over their last 28.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of Ynyshir Albions matches.
  • Across 27 recent matches, Cardiff Draconians games produced 9.00 corners on average — 4.37 taken by Cardiff Draconians themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 33% of Cardiff Draconians matches.
  • Games involving Ynyshir Albions produce 2.82 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
  • Cardiff Draconians matches average 3.52 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
  • Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 3.3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 7.7 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.00 (50%).

Ynyshir Albions — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-18 H D Aberystwyth 0–0 3–2
2026-04-04 A L Caerau Ely 0–2 6–6
2026-03-28 H D Trethomas Bluebirds 2–2 6–9
2026-03-25 A L Cardiff Draconians 1–4 3–4
2026-03-21 A D Carmarthen 0–0 8–12
2026-03-14 H W Newport City 4–0 5–2
2026-03-07 A W Cwmbran Celtic 3–1 5–3
2026-02-28 H D Treowen Stars 1–1 4–4
2026-02-25 H L Llantwit Major 2–3 6–8
2026-02-21 A L Trefelin BGC 0–2 0–5

Cardiff Draconians — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-18 H W Afan Lido 4–1 3–5
2026-04-11 H D Pontypridd Utd 2–2 4–2
2026-04-04 A D Trethomas Bluebirds 4–4 3–4
2026-03-28 H L Newport City 0–1 3–4
2026-03-25 H W Ynyshir Albions 4–1 4–3
2026-03-21 H L Trefelin BGC 0–4 0–5
2026-03-14 H L Carmarthen 2–3 8–5
2026-03-07 A L Ammanford AFC 1–2 10–3
2026-03-05 A L Trefelin BGC 1–3 4–15
2026-02-21 A L Treowen Stars 0–1 4–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians?
Our model gives Ynyshir Albions a 31% chance, the draw 25% and Cardiff Draconians 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians?
The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.