Switzerland Challenge League
Yverdon Sport FC vs Etoile Carouge Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.81 – 1.30
Avg goals3.12
Our pickHome
Yverdon Sport FC 48%
Draw 25%
Etoile Carouge 27%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 48% | 2.07 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 51% | 1.95 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 62% | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away | 58% | 1.73 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Under +8% Value | 54% | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.68 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.75 · Draw 3.80 · Away 4.10 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.1
Yverdon Sport FC
8.2
Expected corners
4.1
Etoile Carouge
Yverdon Sport FC corner stats · Etoile Carouge corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 46%
Under 54%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.2 corners in this match, with Yverdon Sport FC winning 4.1 of them.
- Yverdon Sport FC win 4.00 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.37 over their last 43.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 30% of Yverdon Sport FC matches.
- Across 39 recent matches, Etoile Carouge games produced 9.00 corners on average — 4.18 taken by Etoile Carouge themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of Etoile Carouge matches.
- Games involving Yverdon Sport FC produce 3.21 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 56%.
- Etoile Carouge matches average 2.95 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
- Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 4.2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 9.5 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (51%).
Yverdon Sport FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | D Winterthur | 2–2 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L FC Lausanne-Sport | 0–3 | 8–7 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | D Biel Bienne | 0–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Aarau | 2–2 | 0–5 |
| 2026-05-12 | H | W FC Rapperswil-Jona | 3–1 | 8–7 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W Wil 1900 | 1–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Etoile Carouge | 3–5 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 3–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | D Neuchatel Xamax | 2–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | L St Gallen | 0–2 | 3–6 |
Etoile Carouge — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Aarau | 3–0 | 1–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L FC Sion | 0–7 | 2–10 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D AC Bellinzona | 2–2 | 10–3 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | L Neuchatel Xamax | 0–3 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L FC Vaduz | 1–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W Yverdon Sport FC | 5–3 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L FC Rapperswil-Jona | 1–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Wil 1900 | 2–0 | 1–5 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | D Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-08 | A | W Aarau | 3–1 | 0–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Yverdon Sport FC vs Etoile Carouge?
- Our model gives Yverdon Sport FC a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Etoile Carouge 27%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Yverdon Sport FC vs Etoile Carouge?
- The corner model projects 8.2 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 46% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.