Poland III Liga
Zaglebie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.50 – 1.67
Avg goals3.17
Our pickAway
Zaglebie Lubin II 34%
Draw 26%
Sparta Katowice 41%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 41% | 2.45 | 2.55 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.34 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 3 | Over | 50% | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away +8% Value | 55% | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.65 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.25 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.55 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.78 · Away 2.03 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.5
Zaglebie Lubin II
10.5
Expected corners
5.0
Sparta Katowice
Zaglebie Lubin II corner stats · Sparta Katowice corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 61%
Under 39%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.5 corners in this match, with Zaglebie Lubin II winning 5.5 of them.
- Across 33 recent matches, Zaglebie Lubin II games produced 10.58 corners on average — 5.55 taken by Zaglebie Lubin II themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 70% of Zaglebie Lubin II matches.
- Sparta Katowice matches average 9.96 total corners (5.08 won per game) across their last 26 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 54% of Sparta Katowice matches.
- Games involving Zaglebie Lubin II produce 4.33 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
- Sparta Katowice matches average 2.92 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.00 (50%).
Zaglebie Lubin II — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | H | L Odra Bytom Odrzanski | 0–1 | 7–7 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 0–4 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj | 2–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | L Miedz Legnica II | 1–3 | 9–6 |
| 2026-05-12 | H | L Carina Gubin | 1–4 | 7–8 |
| 2026-05-08 | H | W LZS Starowice Dolne | 5–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Sleza Wroclaw | 2–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Gornik Zabrze II | 0–5 | 8–13 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Polonia Nysa | 4–2 | 4–11 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | D Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 1–1 | 6–6 |
Sparta Katowice — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | A | D GKS Tychy | 2–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Skra Czestochowa | 1–0 | 7–9 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Slowianin Woliborz | 1–0 | 3–8 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D Lechia Zielona Góra | 0–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 3–1 | 5–1 |
| 2026-04-02 | H | L Gornik Zabrze II | 1–2 | 9–8 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | L LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj | 0–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | L Sleza Wroclaw | 0–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-03-13 | A | W Gornik Polkowice | 4–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | D Miedz Legnica II | 2–2 | 4–11 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Zaglebie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice?
- Our model gives Zaglebie Lubin II a 34% chance, the draw 26% and Sparta Katowice 41%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Zaglebie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice?
- The corner model projects 10.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 61% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.