Brazil Campeonato Alagoano U20
Zumbi EC U20 vs Ponte Preta U20 Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.65 – 0.58
Avg goals3.23
Our pickHome
Zumbi EC U20 81%
Draw 14%
Ponte Preta U20 5%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 81% | 1.24 | 1.14 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 95% | 1.06 | 0.98 |
| Goals | 3 | Over | 52% | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Asian handicap | -2.25 | Away +8% Value | 57% | 1.74 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +830% Value | 14% | 7.21 | 67.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.14 · Draw 7.00 · Away 15.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -2.25 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 16 recent matches, Ponte Preta U20 games produced 8.44 corners on average — 3.19 taken by Ponte Preta U20 themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 31% of Ponte Preta U20 matches.
- Games involving Ponte Preta U20 produce 2.50 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
- The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 52% probability.
Zumbi EC U20 — last 3 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | H | D Coruripe AL U20 | 0–0 | 2–7 |
| 2025-09-03 | H | W Miguelense FC U20 | 2–1 | 5–1 |
| 2025-08-02 | H | L CSE U20 | 0–1 | 4–5 |
Ponte Preta U20 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Uniao Suzano U20 | 2–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Corinthians U20 | 1–7 | 0–8 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | D Santos U20 | 0–0 | 6–9 |
| 2026-06-26 | A | W America SP U20 | 1–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Sao Bento U20 | 3–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Portuguesa Santista U20 | 1–2 | 6–0 |
| 2026-01-15 | A | L Cruzeiro U20 | 0–3 | 0–7 |
| 2026-01-13 | H | D AA Francana U20 | 1–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-01-06 | A | W EC Meia Noite U20 | 2–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-01-02 | A | W Coritiba U20 | 4–2 | 2–9 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Zumbi EC U20 vs Ponte Preta U20?
- Our model gives Zumbi EC U20 a 81% chance, the draw 14% and Ponte Preta U20 5%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.