MathPredictions
▾

Colombia Primera A

America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-114%1-012%0-010%
Expected goals1.23 – 1.08
Avg goals2.31
Our pickHome
America de Cali 39% Draw 29% Atletico Nacional 32%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 39% 2.55 2.35
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.41 1.34
Goals 2.25 Under 53% 1.89 1.90
Both teams to score – No 53% 1.90 1.83
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 54% 1.85 1.78
Corners 8.5 Over 50% 2.00 1.88
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.29 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.35  ·  Draw 3.10  ·  Away 3.10
Goals 2.25 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.78
Corners 8.5 Over 1.88  ·  Under 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.6 America de Cali
8.5 Expected corners
3.9 Atletico Nacional

America de Cali corner stats · Atletico Nacional corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.5 corners in this match, with America de Cali winning 4.6 of them.
  • America de Cali win 4.11 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.12 over their last 65.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 34% of America de Cali matches.
  • Across 61 recent matches, Atletico Nacional games produced 9.49 corners on average — 5.66 taken by Atletico Nacional themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of Atletico Nacional matches.
  • Games involving America de Cali produce 2.28 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
  • Atletico Nacional matches average 2.74 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.8 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.9 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (53%).

America de Cali — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-06 A W Once Caldas 1–0 5–3
2026-08-03 H W Boyaca Chico 7–0 9–2
2026-07-30 A D Real Cartagena 1–1 2–4
2026-07-27 A W Internacional de Bogota 2–0 1–8
2026-07-22 H W Real Cartagena 2–1 6–5
2026-07-13 A W Unam Pumas 1–0 4–6
2026-07-10 A W Santos Laguna 1–0 2–5
2026-05-29 H D Macara 0–0 3–9
2026-05-20 H D Tigre 1–1 5–2
2026-05-13 A L Independiente Santa Fe 0–4 2–2

Atletico Nacional — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-03 A W Jaguares de Cordoba 3–0 4–8
2026-07-29 A W Tigres FC 2–0 8–4
2026-07-22 H W Tigres FC 2–0 16–0
2026-07-18 H L Deportivo Tachira 1–2 8–4
2026-06-09 H W Junior 1–0 13–5
2026-06-03 A L Junior 0–3 3–6
2026-05-24 H W Deportes Tolima 3–1 7–4
2026-05-17 A W Deportes Tolima 1–0 2–8
2026-05-13 H W Internacional de Bogota 7–1 9–3
2026-05-10 A W Internacional de Bogota 2–1 3–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional?
Our model gives America de Cali a 39% chance, the draw 29% and Atletico Nacional 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional?
The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.