Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
Americano RJ vs Resende Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.31 – 0.89
Avg goals2.20
Our pickHome
Americano RJ 45%
Draw 31%
Resende 24%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 45% | 2.21 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 76% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 62% | 1.60 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 67% | 1.48 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.04 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.15 · Draw 2.80 · Away 3.30 |
| Goals 1.75 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.6
Americano RJ
11.1
Expected corners
4.5
Resende
Americano RJ corner stats · Resende corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 67%
Under 33%
Match trends
- Our model projects 11.1 corners in this match, with Americano RJ winning 6.6 of them.
- Americano RJ matches average 10.53 total corners (5.87 won per game) across their last 15 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of Americano RJ matches.
- Resende win 4.71 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.88 over their last 17.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Resende matches.
- Games involving Americano RJ produce 2.07 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- Resende matches average 2.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 41% of them.
- Across their previous 5 meetings, these sides averaged 1.8 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 5 meetings with corner data averaged 11 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (62%).
Americano RJ — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Resende | 0–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | L Portuguesa RJ | 0–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W America RJ | 4–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | D Portuguesa RJ | 1–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | D America RJ | 0–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W Resende | 2–1 | 6–10 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | D Marica | 1–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-06-24 | H | W Macae | 2–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W Perolas Negras | 1–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-06-18 | A | D Macae | 0–0 | 14–0 |
Resende — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Americano RJ | 1–0 | 3–9 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | L Sampaio Correa RJ | 0–2 | 5–10 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Marica | 1–1 | 2–13 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | L Sampaio Correa RJ | 0–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Marica | 1–0 | 2–1 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | L Americano RJ | 1–2 | 10–6 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Audax RJ | 0–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-24 | H | W Belford Roxo | 8–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | D Serrano | 0–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-18 | A | W Belford Roxo | 3–1 | 5–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Americano RJ vs Resende?
- Our model gives Americano RJ a 45% chance, the draw 31% and Resende 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Americano RJ vs Resende?
- The corner model projects 11.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 67% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.