Australia NPL Queensland Women
Brisbane City (W) vs Capalaba (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
3-0
Expected goals3.06 – 0.62
Avg goals3.68
Our pickHome
Brisbane City (W) 85%
Draw 11%
Capalaba (W) 4%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 85% | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 96% | 1.04 | 0.97 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Under +9% Value | 55% | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Asian handicap | -2.75 | Away +13% Value | 59% | 1.69 | 1.93 |
| Corners | 9 | Over | 52% | 1.92 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 3-0 +1724% Value | 12% | 8.28 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.06 · Draw 11.00 · Away 26.00 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -2.75 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.8
Brisbane City (W)
9.2
Expected corners
2.4
Capalaba (W)
Brisbane City (W) corner stats · Capalaba (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.2 corners here; Brisbane City (W) are forecast for 6.8.
- Across 27 recent matches, Brisbane City (W) games produced 9.19 corners on average — 6.04 taken by Brisbane City (W) themselves.
- Brisbane City (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 41% of the time.
- Capalaba (W) matches average 8.63 total corners (3.21 won per game) across their last 24 with corner data.
- Capalaba (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- Brisbane City (W) matches average 2.56 goals, with both teams scoring in 41% of them.
- Games involving Capalaba (W) produce 3.33 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
- The model leans Under 3.75 goals at 55% probability.
Brisbane City (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | A | W Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 3–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Lions FC (W) | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-14 | A | D Gold Coast United (W) | 1–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 2–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-30 | H | W Souths United NPL (W) | 6–0 | 11–0 |
| 2026-06-24 | A | D Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1–1 | 10–3 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | D Eastern Suburbs (W) | 0–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | D Lions FC (W) | 1–1 | 19–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 2–0 | 4–3 |
Capalaba (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | A | L Lions FC (W) | 1–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | L Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 0–5 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-14 | H | L Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Souths United NPL (W) | 6–0 | 5–0 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Gold Coast Knights (W) | 1–5 | 0–8 |
| 2026-06-23 | H | D Lions FC (W) | 2–2 | 5–8 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | L Gold Coast Knights (W) | 0–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 0–3 | 0–7 |
| 2026-06-03 | H | L Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 1–4 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Gold Coast United (W) | 1–2 | 0–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Brisbane City (W) vs Capalaba (W)?
- Our model gives Brisbane City (W) a 85% chance, the draw 11% and Capalaba (W) 4%. The most likely score is 3-0.
- How many corners are expected in Brisbane City (W) vs Capalaba (W)?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.