MathPredictions
▾

Honduras Liga Nacional

CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs CD Choloma Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-110%2-110%2-09%
Expected goals1.98 – 1.07
Avg goals3.05
Our pickHome
CA Independiente Siguatepeque 58% Draw 22% CD Choloma 20%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +13% Value 58% 1.72 1.91
Double chance – Home or draw 80% 1.24 1.22
Goals 2.75 Over 54% 1.87 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 57% 1.75 –
Asian handicap -0.5 Home +16% Value 58% 1.72 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 10% 9.60 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.91  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 3.25
Goals 2.5 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 10 recent matches, CA Independiente Siguatepeque games produced 8.10 corners on average — 4.00 taken by CA Independiente Siguatepeque themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of CA Independiente Siguatepeque matches.
  • CD Choloma matches average 11.33 total corners (5.40 won per game) across their last 30 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of CD Choloma matches.
  • Games involving CA Independiente Siguatepeque produce 3.20 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 40%.
  • CD Choloma matches average 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (54%).

CA Independiente Siguatepeque — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-04 A L CD Marathon 0–1 1–5
2026-04-12 H D CD Real Sociedad 1–1 10–4
2026-03-23 A L CD Pirata 1–2 5–8
2026-02-08 A W Affi Academia 1–0 5–4
2025-10-13 H L Estrella Roja 2–3 2–8
2025-09-25 H W Real Tegus 5–1 7–3
2025-09-07 H D Affi Academia 0–0 1–2
2025-08-28 A W Real Tegus 7–0 4–2
2025-08-23 H W CD Pirata 1–0 1–4
2025-08-18 H W Marcala JR CF 6–0 4–1

CD Choloma — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 A L Genesis de Comayagua 0–2 5–2
2026-05-01 A W CD Marathon 1–0 3–7
2026-04-27 A L Motagua 1–5 4–5
2026-04-14 A W CD Victoria La Ceiba 5–2 4–11
2026-04-10 H W Real Espana 3–2 0–4
2026-04-05 A L Olancho FC 1–3 7–5
2026-04-02 H W CD Platense 1–0 5–3
2026-03-25 H L Genesis de Comayagua 1–2 11–3
2026-03-11 H D CD Marathon 0–0 2–4
2026-03-08 H L Motagua 1–3 5–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs CD Choloma?
Our model gives CA Independiente Siguatepeque a 58% chance, the draw 22% and CD Choloma 20%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.