Australia Capital Territory Premier League
Canberra Olympic vs Tuggeranong Utd Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-2
Expected goals2.26 – 2.31
Avg goals4.56
Our pickAway
Canberra Olympic 39%
Draw 20%
Tuggeranong Utd 41%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 41% | 2.45 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 80% | 1.26 | 1.16 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Over +16% Value | 63% | 1.58 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away | 51% | 1.96 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 50% | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Correct score | – | 2-2 | 7% | 14.14 | 11.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.40 · Draw 4.00 · Away 2.25 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.3
Canberra Olympic
9.5
Expected corners
4.2
Tuggeranong Utd
Canberra Olympic corner stats · Tuggeranong Utd corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.5 corners here; Canberra Olympic are forecast for 5.3.
- Canberra Olympic win 4.43 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.83 over their last 23.
- Canberra Olympic games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- Across 22 recent matches, Tuggeranong Utd games produced 10.64 corners on average — 3.86 taken by Tuggeranong Utd themselves.
- Tuggeranong Utd games clear the 9.5 corner line 55% of the time.
- Canberra Olympic matches average 4.48 goals, with both teams scoring in 74% of them.
- Games involving Tuggeranong Utd produce 4.64 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 86%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.6 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 3.75 goals at 63% probability.
Canberra Olympic — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | D Queanbeyan City | 2–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Canberra White Eagles | 2–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L Canberra Croatia FC | 0–3 | 1–7 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L O'Connor Knights | 0–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | L Monaro Panthers | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| 2026-06-10 | H | L Canberra Juventus | 2–3 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W Brindabella Blues FC | 3–0 | 8–0 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | D Belconnen United | 4–4 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Tigers FC | 2–3 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | W O'Connor Knights | 3–1 | 6–0 |
Tuggeranong Utd — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Tigers FC | 1–4 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Canberra White Eagles | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Belconnen United | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | W Canberra Croatia FC | 2–1 | 3–13 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | W O'Connor Knights | 3–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-06-10 | H | L Monaro Panthers | 1–6 | 1–8 |
| 2026-06-03 | A | W Belconnen United | 3–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Canberra Juventus | 0–5 | 6–12 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Brindabella Blues FC | 5–1 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | L Canberra Croatia FC | 2–3 | 4–14 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Canberra Olympic vs Tuggeranong Utd?
- Our model gives Canberra Olympic a 39% chance, the draw 20% and Tuggeranong Utd 41%. The most likely score is 2-2.
- How many corners are expected in Canberra Olympic vs Tuggeranong Utd?
- The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.