Elite Club Friendlies
Cardiff vs Roma Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.08 – 1.52
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Cardiff 26%
Draw 28%
Roma 46%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 46% | 2.16 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.11 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.90 | 1.73 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.46 | 9.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 4.50 · Draw 4.33 · Away 1.50 |
| Goals 3 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Cardiff win 6.32 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.51 over their last 59.
- Cardiff games clear the 9.5 corner line 61% of the time.
- Across 54 recent matches, Roma games produced 8.81 corners on average — 5.17 taken by Roma themselves.
- Roma games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- Cardiff matches average 3.19 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
- Games involving Roma produce 2.57 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 41%.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.
Cardiff — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Forest Green | 5–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | W Cork City | 6–1 | 12–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Midtjylland | 0–6 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Mansfield | 4–5 | 8–6 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Northampton | 5–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | W Port Vale | 1–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W Reading | 3–1 | 9–7 |
| 2026-04-15 | A | D Huddersfield | 1–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Bolton | 2–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Peterborough | 1–1 | 16–6 |
Roma — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Cannes | 3–3 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | W Verona | 2–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Lazio | 2–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | W Parma | 3–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-05 | H | W Fiorentina | 4–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Bologna | 2–0 | 7–7 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | D Atalanta | 1–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Pisa | 3–0 | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Inter Milan | 2–5 | 4–7 |
| 2026-03-23 | H | W Lecce | 1–0 | 10–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Cardiff vs Roma?
- Our model gives Cardiff a 26% chance, the draw 28% and Roma 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.