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Elite Club Friendlies

Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.71 – 1.46
Avg goals3.16
Our pickHome
Chelsea 43% Draw 26% Tottenham 32%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 43% 2.35 2.10
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.34 1.22
Goals 3 Over 50% 2.00 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 64% 1.57 1.44
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 51% 1.95 1.85
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.64 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.10  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.90
Goals 3.25 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Chelsea matches average 9.87 total corners (5.81 won per game) across their last 62 with corner data.
  • Chelsea games clear the 9.5 corner line 60% of the time.
  • Tottenham win 5.05 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.63 over their last 57.
  • Tottenham games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
  • Chelsea matches average 3.34 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
  • Games involving Tottenham produce 2.84 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10.3 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 50% probability.

Chelsea — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 A W Western Sydney Wanderers 6–4 7–8
2026-05-24 A L Sunderland 1–2 2–6
2026-05-20 H W Tottenham 2–1 3–4
2026-05-16 H L Man City 0–1 4–4
2026-05-09 A D Liverpool 1–1 2–5
2026-05-04 H L Nottm Forest 1–3 10–1
2026-04-26 H W Leeds 1–0 6–4
2026-04-22 A L Brighton 0–3 5–6
2026-04-19 H L Man Utd 0–1 7–1
2026-04-12 H L Man City 0–3 4–12

Tottenham — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A D Sydney FC 1–1 7–0
2026-07-26 A W Auckland FC 2–0 10–3
2026-07-23 H W Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 5–6
2026-05-24 H W Everton 1–0 7–7
2026-05-20 A L Chelsea 1–2 4–3
2026-05-12 H D Leeds 0–0 0–0
2026-05-04 A W Aston Villa 2–1 5–5
2026-04-25 A W Wolverhampton 1–0 5–5
2026-04-19 H D Brighton 2–2 7–5
2026-04-12 A L Sunderland 0–1 6–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Our model gives Chelsea a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Tottenham 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.