Chile Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs Union La Calera Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.36 – 1.25
Avg goals2.61
Our pickHome
Cobresal 38%
Draw 29%
Union La Calera 33%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 38% | 2.61 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | 1.29 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.94 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.84 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 55% | 1.81 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 10 | Over | 52% | 1.92 | 2.00 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.28 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.15 · Draw 3.30 · Away 3.25 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 10 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.1
Cobresal
10.2
Expected corners
5.1
Union La Calera
Cobresal corner stats · Union La Calera corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.2 corners in this match, with Cobresal winning 5.1 of them.
- Cobresal matches average 10.41 total corners (4.64 won per game) across their last 44 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 64% of Cobresal matches.
- Union La Calera win 4.71 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.10 over their last 42.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Union La Calera matches.
- Games involving Cobresal produce 2.91 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
- Union La Calera matches average 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.9 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.1 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
Cobresal — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Huachipato | 3–3 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | L CD Antofagasta | 0–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | D Cobreloa | 2–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-02 | H | L La Serena | 0–1 | 9–1 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | L CD Antofagasta | 0–1 | 9–5 |
| 2026-06-25 | A | D La Serena | 0–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L Cobreloa | 0–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | L Colo Colo | 0–3 | 2–5 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | L Universidad Catolica | 1–5 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L Nublense | 0–1 | 9–4 |
Union La Calera — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | H | D Everton de Vina | 1–1 | 9–10 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | W Coquimbo Unido | 1–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-09 | H | L Coquimbo Unido | 0–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | D Union San Felipe | 1–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-02 | A | W Universidad de Chile | 1–0 | 1–9 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | W Santiago Wanderers | 4–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | D Universidad de Chile | 3–3 | 5–9 |
| 2026-06-15 | H | D Universidad de Chile | 2–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-08 | A | W La Serena | 2–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | D Universidad de Concepcion | 0–0 | 6–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Cobresal vs Union La Calera?
- Our model gives Cobresal a 38% chance, the draw 29% and Union La Calera 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Cobresal vs Union La Calera?
- The corner model projects 10.2 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.