Guatemala Liga Nacional
CSD Municipal vs Coban Imperial Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE HT 1–0
Corners3–1
Yellow cards0–1
Shots on target3–0
Shots off target4–0
Attacks56–50
Dangerous attacks39–34
Possession49%–51%
Predicted score
1-014%2-014%1-110%
Expected goals1.93 – 0.64
Avg goals2.57
Our pickHome
CSD Municipal 68%
Draw 21%
Coban Imperial 11%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 89% | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.5 | Away | 58% | 1.73 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +145% Value | 14% | 6.93 | 17.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.40 · Draw 4.20 · Away 6.25 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- CSD Municipal win 5.58 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.47 over their last 59.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of CSD Municipal matches.
- Across 44 recent matches, Coban Imperial games produced 10.84 corners on average — 5.02 taken by Coban Imperial themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 68% of Coban Imperial matches.
- Games involving CSD Municipal produce 2.49 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 48%.
- Coban Imperial matches average 2.30 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.1 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (53%).
CSD Municipal — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | A | W Verdes FC | 1–0 | 7–8 |
| 2026-08-03 | A | W Marquense | 2–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-07-31 | H | D Cartagines | 1–1 | 11–6 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Deportivo Mixco | 2–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Xelaju | 2–1 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Xelaju | 4–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Deportivo Mixco | 5–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-07 | A | W Deportivo Mixco | 2–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | W Guastatoya | 2–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-01 | A | W Guastatoya | 1–0 | 3–6 |
Coban Imperial — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Malacateco | 1–1 | 0–8 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Deportivo Mixco | 0–2 | 3–9 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | W Deportivo Mixco | 2–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | L Xelaju | 1–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-04-20 | H | W CD Achuapa | 3–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-04-17 | A | L Malacateco | 0–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-13 | H | D Guastatoya | 1–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D CSD Municipal | 0–0 | 5–12 |
| 2026-04-02 | H | D Aurora | 0–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-03-30 | A | L Mictlán | 0–1 | 3–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win CSD Municipal vs Coban Imperial?
- Our model gives CSD Municipal a 68% chance, the draw 21% and Coban Imperial 11%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.