Europe Friendlies
Dynamo Dresden vs Union Berlin Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.08 – 1.52
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Dynamo Dresden 26%
Draw 28%
Union Berlin 46%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 46% | 2.16 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.21 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.46 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.50 · Draw 4.00 · Away 1.73 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Dynamo Dresden win 5.08 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.64 over their last 36.
- Dynamo Dresden games clear the 9.5 corner line 58% of the time.
- Across 41 recent matches, Union Berlin games produced 9.61 corners on average — 4.98 taken by Union Berlin themselves.
- Union Berlin games clear the 9.5 corner line 49% of the time.
- Dynamo Dresden matches average 3.39 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
- Games involving Union Berlin produce 2.95 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
- The last 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 12 across their last 9 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.
Dynamo Dresden — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | A | W FSV Budissa Bautzen | 14–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Holstein Kiel | 2–1 | 3–9 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Eintracht Braunschweig | 1–2 | 9–5 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Kaiserslautern | 1–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Fortuna Dusseldorf | 1–3 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Bochum | 2–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Nurnberg | 2–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | L Hertha Berlin | 0–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | L Paderborn | 1–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | W SC Preussen Munster | 6–0 | 5–4 |
Union Berlin — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Aarau | 1–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Winterthur | 1–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Augsburg | 4–0 | 5–9 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | W Mainz | 3–1 | 8–7 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | D Cologne | 2–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L RB Leipzig | 1–3 | 4–10 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Wolfsburg | 1–2 | 11–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Heidenheim | 1–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | D St Pauli | 1–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | L Bayern Munich | 0–4 | 1–12 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Dynamo Dresden vs Union Berlin?
- Our model gives Dynamo Dresden a 26% chance, the draw 28% and Union Berlin 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.