MathPredictions

Europe Friendlies

Dynamo Dresden vs Union Berlin Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.08 – 1.52
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Dynamo Dresden 26% Draw 28% Union Berlin 46%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 46% 2.16 1.73
Double chance Draw or away 74% 1.35 1.21
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93
Both teams to score Yes 53% 1.90
Correct score 1-1 13% 7.46 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.50  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 1.73

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

Dynamo Dresden — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-04 A W FSV Budissa Bautzen 14–0 9–1
2026-05-17 H W Holstein Kiel 2–1 3–9
2026-05-09 A L Eintracht Braunschweig 1–2 9–5
2026-05-02 H W Kaiserslautern 1–0 7–4
2026-04-25 A L Fortuna Dusseldorf 1–3 6–3
2026-04-18 H W Bochum 2–0 4–5
2026-04-11 A W Nurnberg 2–0 4–5
2026-04-05 H L Hertha Berlin 0–1 6–3
2026-03-21 A L Paderborn 1–2 5–4
2026-03-15 H W SC Preussen Munster 6–0 5–4

Union Berlin — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A L Aarau 1–2 9–4
2026-07-18 A D Winterthur 1–1 5–3
2026-05-16 H W Augsburg 4–0 5–9
2026-05-11 A W Mainz 3–1 8–7
2026-05-02 H D Cologne 2–2 2–5
2026-04-25 A L RB Leipzig 1–3 4–10
2026-04-18 H L Wolfsburg 1–2 11–4
2026-04-11 A L Heidenheim 1–3 5–3
2026-04-05 H D St Pauli 1–1 7–2
2026-03-21 A L Bayern Munich 0–4 1–12

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Dynamo Dresden vs Union Berlin?
Our model gives Dynamo Dresden a 26% chance, the draw 28% and Union Berlin 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.