MathPredictions

Honduras Liga Nacional

Estrella Roja vs Olancho FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.04 – 1.42
Avg goals2.46
Our pickAway
Estrella Roja 26% Draw 29% Olancho FC 44%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 44% 2.25 1.91
Double chance Draw or away 74% 1.36 1.22
Goals 2.25 Over 52% 1.94 1.85
Both teams to score Yes 50% 1.99
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 56% 1.80 1.83
Correct score 1-1 14% 7.21 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.40  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 1.91
Goals 2.25 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

Estrella Roja — last 5 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-20 A D Pumas Las Vegas 1–1 5–7
2026-02-16 A W Meluca FC 4–0 3–2
2025-11-10 A D CD Vida 1–1 1–7
2025-10-27 A D Deportes Savio 0–0 4–4
2025-10-13 A W CA Independiente Siguatepeque 3–2 8–2

Olancho FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-16 A D Genesis de Comayagua 1–1 7–3
2026-05-13 H L Motagua 0–2 0–4
2026-05-10 A W Motagua 2–1 5–6
2026-05-07 H L Genesis de Comayagua 1–3 7–1
2026-05-01 H D Genesis de Comayagua 2–2 4–4
2026-04-27 A L CD Platense 0–1 4–5
2026-04-24 H D Motagua 0–0 8–5
2026-04-20 H W CD Victoria La Ceiba 1–0 7–5
2026-04-13 A W CD Marathon 2–0 4–10
2026-04-10 A W Juticalpa 4–0 7–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Estrella Roja vs Olancho FC?
Our model gives Estrella Roja a 26% chance, the draw 29% and Olancho FC 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.