Honduras Liga Nacional
Estrella Roja vs Olancho FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.04 – 1.42
Avg goals2.46
Our pickAway
Estrella Roja 26%
Draw 29%
Olancho FC 44%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 44% | 2.25 | 1.91 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 74% | 1.36 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Over | 52% | 1.94 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home | 56% | 1.80 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.21 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.40 · Draw 3.40 · Away 1.91 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Estrella Roja matches average 8.60 total corners (4.20 won per game) across their last 5 with corner data.
- Estrella Roja games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
- Olancho FC win 5.53 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.16 over their last 43.
- Olancho FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 56% of the time.
- Estrella Roja matches average 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
- Games involving Olancho FC produce 2.60 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
- The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.2 across their last 5 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.25 goals at 52% probability.
Estrella Roja — last 5 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | A | D Pumas Las Vegas | 1–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-02-16 | A | W Meluca FC | 4–0 | 3–2 |
| 2025-11-10 | A | D CD Vida | 1–1 | 1–7 |
| 2025-10-27 | A | D Deportes Savio | 0–0 | 4–4 |
| 2025-10-13 | A | W CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 3–2 | 8–2 |
Olancho FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Genesis de Comayagua | 1–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | L Motagua | 0–2 | 0–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Motagua | 2–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-07 | H | L Genesis de Comayagua | 1–3 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | D Genesis de Comayagua | 2–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | L CD Platense | 0–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-24 | H | D Motagua | 0–0 | 8–5 |
| 2026-04-20 | H | W CD Victoria La Ceiba | 1–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | W CD Marathon | 2–0 | 4–10 |
| 2026-04-10 | A | W Juticalpa | 4–0 | 7–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Estrella Roja vs Olancho FC?
- Our model gives Estrella Roja a 26% chance, the draw 29% and Olancho FC 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.