Serbia Super Liga
FK Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.49 – 1.15
Avg goals2.64
Our pickHome
FK Novi Pazar 44%
Draw 28%
OFK Beograd 28%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 44% | 2.29 | 1.83 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.27 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.85 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away +13% Value | 56% | 1.77 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Over | 55% | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.42 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.83 · Draw 3.40 · Away 4.10 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.8
FK Novi Pazar
8.9
Expected corners
4.1
OFK Beograd
FK Novi Pazar corner stats · OFK Beograd corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 55%
Under 45%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; FK Novi Pazar are forecast for 4.8.
- FK Novi Pazar win 4.16 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.55 over their last 44.
- FK Novi Pazar games clear the 9.5 corner line 32% of the time.
- Across 40 recent matches, OFK Beograd games produced 8.85 corners on average — 4.30 taken by OFK Beograd themselves.
- OFK Beograd games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- FK Novi Pazar matches average 2.68 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving OFK Beograd produce 2.35 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 48%.
- The last 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.5 across their last 6 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 51% probability.
FK Novi Pazar — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | D Mladost Lucani | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W FK Radnicki 1923 | 1–0 | 4–11 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | L FK Radnik Surdulica | 0–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-07-02 | A | L FK Macva Sabac | 1–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | L Mladost Lucani | 1–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Vojvodina | 0–3 | 1–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 2–2 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Crvena Zvezda | 2–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Partizan Belgrade | 1–2 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D FK Cukaricki | 2–2 | 5–8 |
OFK Beograd — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D FK Radnik Surdulica | 0–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-20 | A | L Vojvodina | 0–4 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-09 | H | L Buducnost Podgorica | 0–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-08 | H | L OFK Vrsac | 0–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-07-01 | A | W FK Radnicki 1923 | 2–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Crvena Zvezda | 2–1 | 1–12 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Vojvodina | 1–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D Partizan Belgrade | 1–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 0–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D FK Radnik Surdulica | 1–1 | 4–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FK Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
- Our model gives FK Novi Pazar a 44% chance, the draw 28% and OFK Beograd 28%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in FK Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.