Poland III Liga
Gornik Polkowice vs Rakow Czestochowa II Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.69 – 1.44
Avg goals3.14
Our pickHome
Gornik Polkowice 43%
Draw 26%
Rakow Czestochowa II 32%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 57% | 1.76 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.5 | Away +39% Value | 77% | 1.30 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +17% Value | 12% | 8.56 | 9.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.57 · Draw 4.20 · Away 4.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.2
Gornik Polkowice
10.4
Expected corners
5.3
Rakow Czestochowa II
Gornik Polkowice corner stats · Rakow Czestochowa II corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 60%
Under 40%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.4 corners in this match, with Gornik Polkowice winning 5.2 of them.
- Across 35 recent matches, Gornik Polkowice games produced 9.86 corners on average — 5.49 taken by Gornik Polkowice themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of Gornik Polkowice matches.
- Rakow Czestochowa II matches average 11.19 total corners (6.19 won per game) across their last 16 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 69% of Rakow Czestochowa II matches.
- Games involving Gornik Polkowice produce 3.31 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
- Rakow Czestochowa II matches average 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (57%).
Gornik Polkowice — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Warta Poznan | 4–3 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-08 | H | L Warta Gorzow | 0–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 1–3 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-09 | A | L Sokol Kleczew | 1–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W Sokol Kleczew | 1–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-04 | A | W LKS Lomza | 3–2 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L Lechia Zielona Góra | 1–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | L Gornik Zabrze II | 0–6 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W MKS Kluczbork | 3–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | W GKS Pniowek 74 Pawlowice | 7–0 | 10–0 |
Rakow Czestochowa II — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | H | D Stilon Gorzow | 0–0 | 10–2 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | W Ruch Zdzieszowice | 2–1 | 0–5 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W Ruch Radzionkow | 4–0 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L ROW 1964 Rybnik | 2–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-07 | H | L LKS Belk | 1–3 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-01 | A | W Rozwoj Katowice | 7–0 | 9–6 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | W Szombierki Bytom | 3–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-01 | H | W Polonia Laziska Gorne | 5–1 | 14–7 |
| 2025-11-09 | H | W Victoria Czestochowa | 4–0 | 3–3 |
| 2025-11-01 | H | W Kuznia Ustron | 1–0 | 6–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Gornik Polkowice vs Rakow Czestochowa II?
- Our model gives Gornik Polkowice a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Rakow Czestochowa II 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Gornik Polkowice vs Rakow Czestochowa II?
- The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 60% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.