Guatemala Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Malacateco Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.68 – 0.92
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Guastatoya 54%
Draw 26%
Malacateco 19%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 54% | 1.85 | 1.65 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 81% | 1.24 | 1.10 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.92 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.65 · Draw 3.30 · Away 4.75 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Corners 9 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 43 recent matches, Guastatoya games produced 9.16 corners on average — 4.70 taken by Guastatoya themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of Guastatoya matches.
- Malacateco matches average 9.65 total corners (5.58 won per game) across their last 43 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 56% of Malacateco matches.
- Games involving Guastatoya produce 2.42 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 42%.
- Malacateco matches average 2.28 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.1 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10.1 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
Guastatoya — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Aurora | 1–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | L CSD Municipal | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | L CSD Municipal | 0–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | W Marquense | 4–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-21 | A | L CSD Comunicaciones | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | D Coban Imperial | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-04-07 | H | W CD Achuapa | 3–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | L Malacateco | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | D Xelaju | 1–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-03-23 | H | D CSD Municipal | 1–1 | 7–3 |
Malacateco — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Coban Imperial | 1–1 | 8–0 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | W CSD Comunicaciones | 1–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | L Antigua GFC | 1–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-17 | H | W Coban Imperial | 2–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | L CD Achuapa | 0–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Xelaju | 0–1 | 6–9 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | W Guastatoya | 1–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | L CSD Municipal | 0–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-03-23 | H | D Aurora | 1–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-03-19 | A | L Mictlán | 0–1 | 2–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Guastatoya vs Malacateco?
- Our model gives Guastatoya a 54% chance, the draw 26% and Malacateco 19%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.