MathPredictions
▾

Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Guayaquil City vs Emelec Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 0′ 0–0

Corners0–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–0
Shots off target0–0
Attacks0–0
Dangerous attacks0–0
Possession50%–50%
Predicted score 1-015%1-114%0-013%
Expected goals1.22 – 0.84
Avg goals2.06
Our pickHome
Guayaquil City 44% Draw 31% Emelec 25%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +37% Value 44% 2.26 3.00
Double chance – Home or draw +14% Value 75% 1.34 1.50
Goals 2 Under 53% 1.88 1.85
Both teams to score – No 59% 1.68 1.67
Asian handicap 0.25 Home +22% Value 70% 1.42 1.75
Corners 9 Under 58% 1.72 1.80
Correct score – 1-0 15% 6.68 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.00  ·  Draw 3.00  ·  Away 2.35
Goals 2 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.75  ·  Away 2.05
Corners 9 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.3 Guayaquil City
8.5 Expected corners
4.2 Emelec

Guayaquil City corner stats · Emelec corner stats

Corner line 9.00
Over 42% Under 58%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.5 corners in this match, with Guayaquil City winning 4.3 of them.
  • Guayaquil City matches average 8.10 total corners (3.10 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 30% of Guayaquil City matches.
  • Emelec win 4.78 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.20 over their last 45.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 29% of Emelec matches.
  • Games involving Guayaquil City produce 1.93 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
  • Emelec matches average 2.07 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.7 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.00 (53%).

Guayaquil City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-03 A L Macara 1–2 0–7
2026-07-28 H D Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 0–0 3–4
2026-07-24 A D Leones FC 1–1 1–9
2026-07-20 H W Manta FC 1–0 5–4
2026-07-16 A D Barcelona Guayaquil 1–1 5–5
2026-07-12 H W Delfin SC 2–1 6–4
2026-07-08 A L SD Aucas 0–1 2–3
2026-06-01 H L Independiente del Valle 2–4 0–4
2026-05-24 A D Mushuc Runa 2–2 1–10
2026-05-19 H L Orense 0–1 6–0

Emelec — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H L SD Aucas 0–2 4–3
2026-07-28 A L Deportivo Cuenca 1–2 4–12
2026-07-24 H D Mushuc Runa 1–1 11–7
2026-07-20 A L Independiente del Valle 1–6 0–6
2026-07-17 A W Orense 2–0 1–5
2026-07-13 H D Barcelona Guayaquil 0–0 6–2
2026-07-06 A D Delfin SC 1–1 6–7
2026-06-01 H W Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1–0 2–5
2026-05-25 H W Macara 2–0 3–4
2026-05-21 A D Daquilema FC 0–0 6–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Guayaquil City vs Emelec?
Our model gives Guayaquil City a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Emelec 25%. The most likely score is 1-0.
How many corners are expected in Guayaquil City vs Emelec?
The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 42% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.