Costa Rica Primera Division
Herediano vs Alajuelense Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 0′ 0–0
Corners0–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–0
Shots off target0–0
Attacks0–0
Dangerous attacks0–0
Possession50%–50%
Predicted score
1-114%1-014%0-013%
Expected goals1.15 – 0.94
Avg goals2.09
Our pickHome
Herediano 40%
Draw 31%
Alajuelense 29%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 40% | 2.49 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 71% | 1.41 | 1.29 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under +5% Value | 60% | 1.67 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 58% | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 53% | 1.90 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 57% | 1.77 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.19 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.15 · Draw 3.20 · Away 2.90 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.4
Herediano
10.1
Expected corners
4.6
Alajuelense
Herediano corner stats · Alajuelense corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 57%
Under 43%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.1 corners here; Herediano are forecast for 5.4.
- Across 48 recent matches, Herediano games produced 9.17 corners on average — 4.88 taken by Herediano themselves.
- Herediano games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- Alajuelense matches average 10.71 total corners (5.55 won per game) across their last 55 with corner data.
- Alajuelense games clear the 9.5 corner line 64% of the time.
- Herediano matches average 2.13 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.
- Games involving Alajuelense produce 2.36 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 55%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.7 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 60% probability.
Herediano — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | A | L Alianza FC San Salvador | 0–1 | 9–1 |
| 2026-08-03 | A | D Inter San Carlos | 1–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-07-31 | H | D CD Marathon | 0–0 | 2–0 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | D Puntarenas | 1–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Deportivo Saprissa | 1–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | W Alajuelense | 1–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Deportivo Saprissa | 2–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | L Deportivo Saprissa | 1–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D Cartagines | 0–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W Cartagines | 1–0 | 1–10 |
Alajuelense — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | A | W Diriangen | 2–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-08-02 | H | W Escorpiones de Belen FC | 2–1 | 9–1 |
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Xelaju | 1–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Sporting San Jose | 1–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | L Herediano | 0–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | L Municipal Liberia | 1–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-24 | H | W Puntarenas | 5–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-04-20 | H | D Deportivo Saprissa | 1–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | W Sporting San Jose | 2–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | D Guadalupe FC | 1–1 | 7–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Herediano vs Alajuelense?
- Our model gives Herediano a 40% chance, the draw 31% and Alajuelense 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Herediano vs Alajuelense?
- The corner model projects 10.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 57% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.