MathPredictions
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China Division 2

Hubei Istar vs Guangdong Mingtu Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.41 – 1.03
Avg goals2.44
Our pickHome
Hubei Istar 44% Draw 29% Guangdong Mingtu 26%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 44% 2.26 2.55
Double chance – Home or draw 74% 1.36 1.38
Goals 2.25 Over 51% 1.96 1.93
Both teams to score – No 50% 2.00 –
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 52% 1.93 1.90
Corners 9.5 Under 63% 1.59 –
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.17 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.55  ·  Draw 3.00  ·  Away 2.55
Goals 2.25 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.4 Hubei Istar
8.5 Expected corners
5.0 Guangdong Mingtu

Hubei Istar corner stats · Guangdong Mingtu corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 37% Under 63%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.5 corners here; Hubei Istar are forecast for 3.4.
  • Hubei Istar win 3.21 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.64 over their last 28.
  • Hubei Istar games clear the 9.5 corner line 39% of the time.
  • Across 28 recent matches, Guangdong Mingtu games produced 8.96 corners on average — 4.68 taken by Guangdong Mingtu themselves.
  • Guangdong Mingtu games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
  • Hubei Istar matches average 2.39 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
  • Games involving Guangdong Mingtu produce 2.07 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
  • The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9.3 across their last 3 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 2.25 goals at 51% probability.

Hubei Istar — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H D Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1–1 2–9
2026-07-18 A W Wenzhou FC 2–1 5–16
2026-07-04 A D Ganzhou Ruishi 4–4 0–2
2026-06-27 H W Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 2–0 2–6
2026-06-23 A D Xiamen Feilu 0–0 5–3
2026-06-19 A W Guangzhou Dandelion 3–2 0–5
2026-06-14 H L Shenzhen 2028 1–2 4–4
2026-05-26 A L Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0–1 4–4
2026-05-22 H W Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 3–0 4–1
2026-05-17 H L Guangxi Hengchen 0–4 3–6

Guangdong Mingtu — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 2–0 3–3
2026-07-19 A D Jiangxi Lushan 0–0 1–3
2026-07-11 H D Shenzhen 2028 2–2 6–6
2026-07-04 A W Guangzhou Dandelion 2–1 3–1
2026-06-27 H L Xiamen Feilu 1–2 6–3
2026-06-23 H D Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0–0 3–3
2026-06-19 A W Ganzhou Ruishi 2–0 4–4
2026-06-13 H D Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1–1 7–1
2026-05-27 A W Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1–0 6–4
2026-05-22 A D Wenzhou FC 1–1 7–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Hubei Istar vs Guangdong Mingtu?
Our model gives Hubei Istar a 44% chance, the draw 29% and Guangdong Mingtu 26%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Hubei Istar vs Guangdong Mingtu?
The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 37% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.