Mexico Liga MX
Juarez FC vs Unam Pumas Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 1–5 (HT 1–3)
Corners2–0
Yellow cards2–1
Shots on target3–5
Shots off target5–5
Attacks92–94
Dangerous attacks60–38
Possession49%–51%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.39 – 1.40
Avg goals2.80
Our pickAway
Juarez FC 36%
Draw 28%
Unam Pumas 36%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 36% | 2.75 | 2.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 53% | 1.89 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.73 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away | 50% | 1.99 | 1.93 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 51% | 1.98 | 2.03 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.62 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.55 · Draw 3.40 · Away 2.70 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
9.5
Expected corners
Juarez FC corner stats · Unam Pumas corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- Juarez FC win 4.26 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.38 over their last 39.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Juarez FC matches.
- Across 46 recent matches, Unam Pumas games produced 9.28 corners on average — 3.65 taken by Unam Pumas themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of Unam Pumas matches.
- Games involving Juarez FC produce 3.26 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 80%.
- Unam Pumas matches average 3.02 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.9 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 7.6 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (53%).
Juarez FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | L Unam Pumas | 1–5 | 2–0 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Chivas Guadalajara | 0–1 | 2–19 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Puebla | 0–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Atletico San Luis | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | L Unam Pumas | 2–4 | 1–5 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Leon | 1–3 | 8–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L Tijuana | 1–2 | 5–9 |
| 2026-04-08 | A | D Queretaro | 1–1 | 6–9 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | D Puebla | 1–1 | 9–8 |
| 2026-03-23 | H | W Tigres UANL | 2–1 | 7–3 |
Unam Pumas — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | W Juarez FC | 5–1 | 0–2 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | W Toluca | 2–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | L Pachuca | 0–3 | 9–4 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | L America de Cali | 0–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W Cancun FC | 3–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | L Cruz Azul | 1–2 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | D Cruz Azul | 0–0 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | W Pachuca | 1–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | L Pachuca | 0–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | D Club America | 3–3 | 3–16 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Juarez FC vs Unam Pumas?
- Our model gives Juarez FC a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Unam Pumas 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Juarez FC vs Unam Pumas?
- The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.