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Elite Club Friendlies

Leeds vs Liverpool Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.27 – 2.04
Avg goals3.31
Our pickAway
Leeds 22% Draw 23% Liverpool 54%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 54% 1.84 1.62
Double chance – Draw or away 78% 1.29 1.16
Goals 3.25 Under 53% 1.90 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 63% 1.58 –
Asian handicap 0.75 Home 51% 1.96 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 10% 9.61 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 4.00  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 1.62
Goals 3.25 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap 0.75 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Leeds win 4.56 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.17 over their last 48.
  • Leeds games clear the 9.5 corner line 48% of the time.
  • Across 61 recent matches, Liverpool games produced 10.15 corners on average — 5.98 taken by Liverpool themselves.
  • Liverpool games clear the 9.5 corner line 54% of the time.
  • Leeds matches average 2.69 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.
  • Games involving Liverpool produce 3.20 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 59%.
  • The last 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10.7 across their last 9 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 53% probability.

Leeds — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-31 A W Sunderland 1–0 2–5
2026-07-26 H L Wrexham 2–3 5–0
2026-05-24 A L West Ham 0–3 4–6
2026-05-17 H W Brighton 1–0 7–8
2026-05-12 A D Tottenham 0–0 0–0
2026-05-02 H W Burnley 3–1 5–0
2026-04-26 A L Chelsea 0–1 4–6
2026-04-23 A D Bournemouth 2–2 1–12
2026-04-18 H W Wolverhampton 3–0 5–6
2026-04-14 A W Man Utd 2–1 4–11

Liverpool — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H W Wrexham 1–0 3–4
2026-07-26 H W Sunderland 4–2 4–1
2026-05-24 H D Brentford 1–1 14–2
2026-05-16 A L Aston Villa 2–4 9–4
2026-05-09 H D Chelsea 1–1 5–2
2026-05-03 A L Man Utd 2–3 2–3
2026-04-25 H W Crystal Palace 3–1 5–8
2026-04-19 A D Everton 1–1 5–1
2026-04-15 H L PSG 0–2 8–2
2026-04-12 H W Fulham 2–0 6–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Leeds vs Liverpool?
Our model gives Leeds a 22% chance, the draw 23% and Liverpool 54%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.