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Man City vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 38′ 0–0

Corners1–3
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target3–0
Shots off target3–2
Attacks38–33
Dangerous attacks24–12
Possession54%–46%
Predicted score 1-112%2-19%1-28%
Expected goals1.51 – 1.47
Avg goals2.99
Our pickHome
Man City 38% Draw 25% Atletico Madrid 36%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 38% 2.61 1.80
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.34 1.17
Goals 2.75 Over 52% 1.92 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 61% 1.65 1.53
Asian handicap 0 Home 51% 1.95 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.55 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.80  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 3.30
Goals 3.25 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00
Corners 8.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Man City matches average 9.69 total corners (6.17 won per game) across their last 64 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Man City matches.
  • Atletico Madrid win 5.98 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.48 over their last 63.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of Atletico Madrid matches.
  • Games involving Man City produce 3.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 48%.
  • Atletico Madrid matches average 3.16 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.
  • Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 1.3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 8 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (52%).

Man City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-05 A W K League All Stars 3–1 3–2
2026-08-01 H D Inter Milan 1–1 9–3
2026-06-15 A D Man Utd 0–0 0–0
2026-05-24 H L Aston Villa 1–2 9–4
2026-05-20 A D Bournemouth 1–1 6–7
2026-05-16 A W Chelsea 1–0 4–4
2026-05-14 H W Crystal Palace 3–0 9–4
2026-05-10 H W Brentford 3–0 10–2
2026-05-05 A D Everton 3–3 9–5
2026-04-26 H W Southampton 2–1 10–3

Atletico Madrid — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 A L Man Utd 1–2 2–4
2026-05-25 A L Villarreal 1–5 9–5
2026-05-18 H W Girona 1–0 9–8
2026-05-13 A W Osasuna 2–1 4–8
2026-05-10 H L Celta Vigo 0–1 10–0
2026-05-06 A L Arsenal 0–1 2–5
2026-05-02 A W Valencia 2–0 7–1
2026-04-30 H D Arsenal 1–1 6–1
2026-04-26 H W Athletic Club 3–2 3–4
2026-04-23 A L Elche 2–3 3–13

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Man City vs Atletico Madrid?
Our model gives Man City a 38% chance, the draw 25% and Atletico Madrid 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.