Nicaragua Apertura
Matagalpa FC vs Managua FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-112%1-29%0-19%
Expected goals1.22 – 1.61
Avg goals2.84
Our pickAway
Matagalpa FC 29%
Draw 26%
Managua FC 46%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 46% | 2.18 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Asian handicap | 1 | Home +18% Value | 69% | 1.44 | 1.78 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.31 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 4.50 · Draw 3.75 · Away 1.60 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap 1 | Home 1.78 · Away 2.03 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.9
Matagalpa FC
9.4
Expected corners
4.5
Managua FC
Matagalpa FC corner stats · Managua FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 49%
Under 51%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.4 corners here; Matagalpa FC are forecast for 4.9.
- Matagalpa FC win 4.07 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.43 over their last 30.
- Matagalpa FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- Across 39 recent matches, Managua FC games produced 8.74 corners on average — 4.46 taken by Managua FC themselves.
- Managua FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 33% of the time.
- Matagalpa FC matches average 3.03 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- Games involving Managua FC produce 2.41 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 7.2 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 52% probability.
Matagalpa FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | A | L CD Walter Ferretti | 1–4 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Real Esteli | 0–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | L HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0–3 | 11–3 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Jalapa | 3–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-07 | A | L Diriangen | 1–3 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-30 | A | W Managua FC | 4–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W CD Walter Ferretti | 4–0 | 0–3 |
| 2026-04-16 | H | L Managua FC | 1–2 | 0–0 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | D Jalapa | 1–1 | 1–10 |
| 2026-04-09 | H | L Diriangen | 2–3 | 5–3 |
Managua FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | A | W San Marcos FC | 3–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Jalapa | 1–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Rancho Santana FC | 2–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Rancho Santana FC | 2–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | W Rancho Santana FC | 3–2 | 11–1 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | L Matagalpa FC | 2–4 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-16 | A | W Matagalpa FC | 2–1 | 0–0 |
| 2026-04-13 | H | D CD Walter Ferretti | 1–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-09 | A | L Real Esteli | 1–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-03-19 | H | W UNAN Managua | 2–1 | 5–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Matagalpa FC vs Managua FC?
- Our model gives Matagalpa FC a 29% chance, the draw 26% and Managua FC 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Matagalpa FC vs Managua FC?
- The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.