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USA USL League One

Sarasota Paradise vs FC Naples Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.53 – 1.05
Avg goals2.58
Our pickHome
Sarasota Paradise 47% Draw 28% FC Naples 25%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 47% 2.12 1.91
Double chance – Home or draw 75% 1.33 1.24
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.91 1.88
Both teams to score – Yes 52% 1.91 –
Asian handicap -0.5 Away 53% 1.89 1.80
Corners 9.5 Under 59% 1.69 –
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.47 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.91  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 3.30
Goals 2.5 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.4 Sarasota Paradise
8.8 Expected corners
3.4 FC Naples

Sarasota Paradise corner stats · FC Naples corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 41% Under 59%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.8 corners in this match, with Sarasota Paradise winning 5.4 of them.
  • Sarasota Paradise win 4.76 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.52 over their last 21.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 19% of Sarasota Paradise matches.
  • Across 40 recent matches, FC Naples games produced 9.08 corners on average — 4.35 taken by FC Naples themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of FC Naples matches.
  • Games involving Sarasota Paradise produce 2.62 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
  • FC Naples matches average 2.38 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.
  • Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 2.3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 5.3 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).

Sarasota Paradise — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-12 H L Miami FC 0–5 4–5
2026-07-09 A D Greenville Triumph SC 0–0 3–2
2026-07-04 A D Richmond Kickers 0–0 7–2
2026-06-21 A L Corpus Christi FC 1–4 5–2
2026-06-14 H W Union Omaha 2–0 3–7
2026-06-11 A L Antelope Valley Alta 1–3 6–1
2026-06-07 A W FC Naples 2–0 0–4
2026-05-31 H W New York Cosmos 2–1 4–3
2026-05-28 A W AC Boise 2–0 0–9
2026-05-25 A L Spokane Velocity FC 0–1 4–2

FC Naples — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Forward Madison FC 1–3 7–3
2026-07-12 A L Tampa Bay Rowdies 0–2 2–3
2026-07-09 A L New York Cosmos 0–1 4–7
2026-07-04 H L Portland Hearts of Pine 2–3 7–7
2026-06-21 A L Chattanooga Red Wolves 0–1 1–4
2026-06-14 A L Charlotte Independence 3–4 6–6
2026-06-07 H L Sarasota Paradise 0–2 4–0
2026-06-04 H L Charlotte Independence 1–5 8–5
2026-05-31 A L Union Omaha 1–2 3–8
2026-05-24 H W Westchester SC 1–0 1–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sarasota Paradise vs FC Naples?
Our model gives Sarasota Paradise a 47% chance, the draw 28% and FC Naples 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Sarasota Paradise vs FC Naples?
The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 41% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.