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Europe Friendlies

USC Paredes vs Lusitania Lourosa Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 36′ 2–0

Corners2–2
Yellow cards1–0
Shots on target3–1
Shots off target3–1
Attacks36–24
Dangerous attacks15–8
Possession51%–49%
Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.04 – 1.45
Avg goals2.49
Our pickAway
USC Paredes 26% Draw 29% Lusitania Lourosa 45%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 45% 2.20 1.95
Double chance – Draw or away 74% 1.35 1.21
Goals 2.25 Over 52% 1.91 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 51% 1.97 –
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 55% 1.83 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.27 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.50  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 1.95
Goals 2.25 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • USC Paredes matches average 8.28 total corners (4.24 won per game) across their last 29 with corner data.
  • USC Paredes games clear the 9.5 corner line 41% of the time.
  • Lusitania Lourosa win 5.50 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.97 over their last 38.
  • Lusitania Lourosa games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
  • USC Paredes matches average 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.
  • Games involving Lusitania Lourosa produce 2.74 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 55%.
  • The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9.3 across their last 4 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 2.25 goals at 52% probability.

USC Paredes — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-03 H D AD Marco 09 2–2 6–1
2026-04-26 A L AD Sanjoanense 0–1 4–1
2026-04-18 H D Sao Joao Ver 0–0 8–5
2026-04-12 H W Braga B 4–1 5–5
2026-03-22 A L AD Fafe 0–1 6–5
2026-03-15 A L Sao Joao Ver 1–3 5–3
2026-03-08 H D AD Fafe 0–0 3–3
2026-03-01 A L Braga B 0–1 4–5
2026-02-22 H W AD Sanjoanense 3–1 2–6
2026-02-14 A W AD Marco 09 2–0 2–9

Lusitania Lourosa — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A D Leca 0–0 4–5
2026-05-18 A L Leixoes 1–2 1–8
2026-05-10 H L Torreense 1–2 5–7
2026-05-02 A D UD Oliveirense 0–0 6–5
2026-04-26 H W Pacos Ferreira 2–0 4–3
2026-04-19 A L Portimonense 2–3 9–6
2026-04-14 H D FC Porto B 1–1 5–4
2026-04-06 A D UD Leiria 0–0 3–9
2026-03-21 H L Academico Viseu 0–3 7–2
2026-03-15 A L Vizela 3–4 3–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win USC Paredes vs Lusitania Lourosa?
Our model gives USC Paredes a 26% chance, the draw 29% and Lusitania Lourosa 45%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.