MathPredictions
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New Zealand Central Premier League

Wellington Olympic vs Upper Hutt City Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

FT 4–1 (HT 1–1)

Corners11–6
Yellow cards1–1
Shots on target9–6
Shots off target7–6
Attacks102–76
Dangerous attacks61–32
Possession60%–40%
Predicted score 2-0
Expected goals2.66 – 0.78
Avg goals3.45
Our pickHome
Wellington Olympic 77% Draw 16% Upper Hutt City 8%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 77% 1.31 1.08
Double chance – Home or draw 92% 1.09 0.98
Goals 3.75 Under +19% Value 61% 1.65 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 51% 1.95 –
Asian handicap -2 Away 56% 1.79 1.95
Corners 11 Under +10% Value 62% 1.62 1.80
Correct score – 2-0 +476% Value 11% 8.86 81.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.08  ·  Draw 10.00  ·  Away 19.00
Goals 3.75 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -2.75 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95
Corners 11 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

10.2 Expected corners

Wellington Olympic corner stats · Upper Hutt City corner stats

Corner line 11.00
Over 38% Under 62%

Match trends

  • Across 30 recent matches, Wellington Olympic games produced 10.40 corners on average — 5.40 taken by Wellington Olympic themselves.
  • Wellington Olympic games clear the 9.5 corner line 63% of the time.
  • Upper Hutt City matches average 11.59 total corners (4.59 won per game) across their last 17 with corner data.
  • Upper Hutt City games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
  • Wellington Olympic matches average 3.63 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
  • Games involving Upper Hutt City produce 3.71 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 59%.
  • The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10.3 across their last 3 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 3.75 goals at 61% probability.

Wellington Olympic — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 H W Upper Hutt City 4–1 11–6
2026-07-18 A W Island Bay United 2–1 8–3
2026-07-11 H W FC Western 9–0 9–1
2026-06-20 H W Western Suburbs 2–1 5–7
2026-06-06 H D Miramar Rangers 1–1 3–7
2026-05-30 H L Miramar Rangers 1–2 6–2
2026-05-23 A W Waterside Karori 3–0 6–5
2026-05-16 H W Petone FC 5–1 2–6
2026-05-09 H W Wellington Phoenix Reserves 3–1 7–1
2026-05-02 A W Upper Hutt City 6–1 5–2

Upper Hutt City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 A L Wellington Olympic 1–4 6–11
2026-07-18 H L Western Suburbs 1–2 3–3
2026-07-12 A L Napier City Rovers 1–5 8–7
2026-06-27 H W Waterside Karori 6–0 7–2
2026-06-20 H L Miramar Rangers 2–3 5–10
2026-06-06 H W Petone FC 2–0 1–5
2026-05-23 H W Wellington Phoenix Reserves 1–0 5–11
2026-05-17 A W FC Western 4–1 9–7
2026-05-09 H L Island Bay United 1–4 9–5
2026-05-02 H L Wellington Olympic 1–6 2–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Wellington Olympic vs Upper Hutt City?
Our model gives Wellington Olympic a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Upper Hutt City 8%. The most likely score is 2-0.
How many corners are expected in Wellington Olympic vs Upper Hutt City?
The corner model projects 10.2 total corners. Over 11.00 corners is rated at 38% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.